农田的扩张将尼日利亚的极端气候和饮食联系在一起
Bhoktear Khan1, Piyush Mehta1, Dongyang Wei1
1Department of Geography and Spatial Sciences, University of Delaware, Newark, DE, USA.
Science advances
|January 10, 2025
概括
气候变化影响农业. 与气候变化相关的森林丧失对儿童饮食的多样性产生了积极的影响,但耕地扩张并没有改善营养,这表明适应策略无效.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 农业科学 农业科学
- 营养科学 营养科学
背景情况:
- 气候变化对全球南方的小农农业和粮食安全构成重大风险.
- 农田扩张是缓解气候变化影响的常见策略,但其营养益处尚不确定.
- 了解气候变化,土地利用变化和饮食结果之间的联系对于有效的适应至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 量化检查尼日利亚气候异常,由于耕地扩张而造成的森林损失和饮食结果之间的关系.
- 评估耕地扩张是否作为改善儿童营养的有效气候适应战略.
- 探索营养敏感气候适应战略的潜力.
主要方法:
- 使用高分辨率的森林覆盖和气候变量数据.
- 采用随机森林和面板回归模型来分析气候变化和森林丧失.
- 分析了地理引用的家庭调查数据,以确定森林覆盖面变化与儿童饮食多样性之间的关联.
主要成果:
- 每年森林损失的25-31%归因于气候变化.
- 森林覆盖面的变化与儿童饮食多样性的增加有着显著的积极关联.
- 农田扩张没有显示出与改善儿童饮食多样性的显著积极关联.
结论:
- 森林转化为农业可能是一个无效的气候适应战略,以提高儿童营养.
- 保护剩余的森林和促进对营养敏感的农业对于气候适应至关重要.
- 将营养目标纳入气候适应战略可以提高粮食安全和环境可持续性.
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