通过跨境输电和2050年净零能源愿景加速东盟电力部门的能源转型
Sheng Zhong1, Lingyi Yang1, Dimitri J Papageorgiou2
1Energy Studies Institute, National University of Singapore, Singapore 119620, Singapore.
iScience
|January 13, 2025
概括
东南亚国家可以通过可再生能源和碳捕获实现净零排放. 跨境输电基础设施的战略投资是关键,降低成本并为电力部门提供脱碳途径.
科学领域:
- 能源系统分析 能源系统分析
- 电力部门脱碳化 电力部门脱碳化
- 整合可再生能源的整合
背景情况:
- 东南亚国家联盟 (东盟) 面临着重要的能源转型目标.
- 电力部门的脱碳对于实现气候目标至关重要.
- 在电力部门减少排放的技术选择是可用的.
研究的目的:
- 调查东盟电力部门的假设脱碳途径.
- 从2018年到2050年,模拟综合电力系统容量扩张.
- 确定在该地区实现净零排放的最佳策略.
主要方法:
- 开发和应用一个集成的电力系统容量扩展模型.
- 分析涉及可再生能源,碳捕获和封存 (CCS) 以及跨境传输的途径.
- 基于不同脱碳战略的场景成本效益分析.
主要成果:
- 跨境传输,尽管成本低 (0.5%),但可以减少11.9%的系统费用,并促进净零排放.
- 生产基础设施需要大量的累计投资 (2018年GDP的29.6%-44.6%).
- 投资需求在东盟国家之间分布不均,这对统一的去碳化提出了挑战.
结论:
- 可再生能源,CCS和增强传输的战略部署对于东盟电力部门脱碳至关重要.
- 跨境传输是实现深度脱碳和净零目标的具有成本效益的推动者.
- 由于成本和能力分布不均,国家特定的投资策略至关重要.
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