预测退伍军人卫生管理局内使用手术服务的情况
Victoria A Bensel1,2, Kelsey Corcoran1,2, Anthony J Lisi1,2
1Biomedical Informatics and Data Science, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, United States of America.
PloS one
|January 13, 2025
概括
预计到2027年,退伍军人事务部的手术护理使用量将增加一倍以上. 这一趋势需要为社区和车站服务进行积极的资源规划,以满足未来的需求.
科学领域:
- 医疗保健服务研究 医疗服务研究
- 退伍军人健康 退伍军人的健康
- 整形手术医疗 整形手术医疗
背景情况:
- 在退伍军人卫生管理局 (VA) 内部,手术护理越来越多地被使用.
- 了解未来的需求对于资源分配和服务提供至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 为了在VA中模拟未来的手术服务利用情况.
- 预测未来五年临床资源需求.
主要方法:
- 对VA手术治疗使用数据的连续横截面分析 (2017-2022财年).
- 计算利用趋势的复合年增长率 (CAGR).
- 从历史数据推断来预测未来使用情况 (2023-2027财年).
主要成果:
- 退伍军人手术的使用率从1.4% (2017财年) 增加到3.5% (2022财年).
- 预计到2027财年,整体使用率将达到8.9%,其中很大一部分来自社区护理网络 (CCN) 和站内服务.
- 复合年增长率因护理类型而异,总体复合年增长率为17.9%.
结论:
- 预计VA手术服务的利用率将在2022财年至2027财年之间增加一倍以上.
- 积极的资源规划至关重要,以适应预期的CCN和站内脊椎医疗护理的增加.
- 该研究强调了手术治疗服务在退伍军人医疗保健中的日益重要.
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