中国不同发展阶段的分类和空间特征:生产因素贡献率的证据
Zijie Li1,2, Xiangnan Liu1,3, Lingfeng Xu1,2
1School of Public Administration, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, China.
PloS one
|January 14, 2025
概括
中国中国中国中国.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 经济地理 经济地理
- 区域科学 地区科学
背景情况:
- 自改革开放以来,中国的经济增长显著发展.
- 了解生产因子贡献的动态对于可持续发展至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析中国生产要素 (资本,劳动力,土地,技术) 的贡献率的变化.
- 通过不同的发展阶段和空间维度来研究这些变化.
- 为实现高质量发展和协调区域增长提供见解.
主要方法:
- 使用了国家数据 (1978-2021) 和省级数据 (2000-2020).
- 使用了科布-道格拉斯 (C-D) 生产函数和空间计量经济学模型.
- 分析了因子贡献的时间和空间特征.
主要成果:
- 在结构调整期间 (1978-1998),资本和劳动力占主导地位;土地的贡献减少.
- 在高速发展 (1998-2012) 中,技术的作用越来越大;土地的贡献稳定.
- 在高质量发展 (2012年至今) 中,技术占主导地位;土地的贡献下降.
- 空间分析揭示了资本和劳动力的聚集,土地因素促进了当地/邻近的增长.
- 省份的资本投入显示出"东低,西高"的模式 (2000-2020年),随着时间的推移而下降.
- 劳动力和土地贡献在各省份下降;技术的贡献增加,特别是在东南部.
- 省份的高质量发展可以通过因素贡献率来评估.
结论:
- 在中国,生产因子贡献在时间和空间上发生了显著的变化.
- 技术现在是经济增长的主要驱动力,而土地的作用已经减少.
- 因素贡献的空间差异仍然存在,影响区域发展.
- 这些发现为优化因素分配和促进协调区域发展以实现高质量增长提供了基础.
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