在多个时间尺度上的联网电力市场的决策优化:集成合可交易的绿色证书和绿色电力交易
Lili Liu1, Tiantian Feng2, Jiajie Kong1
1School of Economics and Management, China University of Geosciences Beijing, Beijing, 100083, China.
Journal of environmental management
|January 14, 2025
概括
整合绿色电力交易和可交易绿色证书 (TGC) 是在中国能源转型中平衡经济效益和环境目标的关键. 这项研究优化了市场参与者对可持续能源未来的决策.
科学领域:
- 能源经济学 能源经济学
- 环境政策 环境政策
- 市场设计市场设计
背景情况:
- 中国的能源转型依赖于市场机制,如可再生组合标准 (RPS) 和可交易绿色证书 (TGC) 市场.
- 有效地整合TGC和绿色电力交易对于平衡经济效益和环境目标至关重要.
- 在多市场平衡状态下,优化市场参与者的决策存在研究差距.
研究的目的:
- 为多个市场平衡中的市场参与者开发一个双层决策优化模型.
- 分析RPS,TGC价格和可再生能源 (RE) 透对市场结果的影响.
- 探索能源供应,经济价值和贸易战略,以提高环境可持续性.
主要方法:
- 建立一个双层决策优化模型.
- 从能源供应和经济价值的角度分析市场参与者的决策.
- 使用IEEE14节点和Elia Energy历史数据进行验证.
主要成果:
- 市场平衡显示,前一天的RE市场价格等于传统能源市场价格加上TGC价格.
- 当绿色电力进入现货市场时,可再生能源和传统能源发电之间存在互补关系.
- 消费者成本随着可再生能源透率超过30% (100元人民币/兆瓦时的TGC价格) 增加;可再生能源发电商利增长在35%以上的可再生能源透率下放缓.
- 较小的传统能源发电厂表现出更有风险的交易行为,以获得更高的利.
结论:
- 双级优化模型有效指导复杂能源市场市场参与者的决策.
- 优化TGC和绿色电力交易的整合可以实现经济和环境目标.
- 政策洞察力支持通过战略市场设计和参与实现国家气候目标.
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