一个集体深度学习框架,用于使用基于遗传算法的特征选择来预测能源需求.
Mohd Sakib1, Tamanna Siddiqui1,2, Suhel Mustajab1
1Department of Computer Science, Aligarh Muslim University, Aligarh, UP, India.
PloS one
|January 15, 2025
概括
这项研究引入了一种用于准确预测能源需求的新型组合模型,利用遗传算法优化特征选择. 这种方法显著提高了周日和周末的预测准确度.
科学领域:
- 能源系统 能源系统
- 人工智能的人工智能
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
背景情况:
- 准确的能源需求预测对于高效的能源管理和规划至关重要.
- 机器学习模型已经取得了显著的进步,但功能选择仍然是一个挑战.
研究的目的:
- 提出一套整体方法,优化能源需求预测中的特征选择.
- 使用遗传算法和多种预测模型来提高预测的准确性和稳定性.
主要方法:
- 一种整体方法,将特征选择的遗传算法与LSTM,BiLSTM和GRU模型集成在一起.
- 堆叠组合技术,以结合基础学习者预测.
- 数据集分为工作日和周末子集,以进行详细分析.
- 十次模拟和威尔科克森签署的等级测试可靠性.
主要成果:
- 实现了高精度的RMSE为130.6,MAPE为0.38%,MAE为99.41,用于周日能源需求预测.
- 在周末预测方面保持强的表现,RMSE为137.41,MAPE为0.42%,MAE为105.67.
- 在能源需求预测方面表现出卓越的精度和稳定性.
结论:
- 拟议的整体模型有效地优化了特征选择,以改善能源需求预测.
- 这项研究为能源分析师提供了宝贵的见解,并为先进的预测方法做出了贡献.
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