检查新泽西州保释金改革后对妇女致命暴力的变化
Taylor Riley1, Avanti Adhia2, Sandhya Kajeepeta3
1Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington.
American journal of preventive medicine
|January 15, 2025
概括
新泽西州的保释制度改革并没有增加对妇女的致命暴力. 这项研究发现,在政策变化后,亲密伴侣,与怀孕相关的或女性的整体杀人事件没有显著变化.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 犯罪学 犯罪学
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- 现金保释制度改革结束审前拘留的议题也在讨论中,反对者担心社区暴力增加,特别是针对妇女的暴力.
- 这项研究解决了人们的担忧,即减少审前拘留可能导致对妇女的致命暴力率更高.
研究的目的:
- 评估新泽西州现金保释改革与对妇女的致命暴力率变化之间的关联.
主要方法:
- 利用合成控制方法,将新泽西州的保释改革时期 (2015-2019) 与21个没有改革的州的合成控制组进行比较.
- 分析了来自国家暴力死亡报告系统的数据,包括与亲密伴侣暴力有关的杀人事件,与怀孕有关的杀人事件以及成年女性的整体杀人事件.
- 对所有成年女性和种族化群体的检查结果,在2024年进行分析.
主要成果:
- 与亲密伴侣暴力相关的谋杀率没有观察到统计学意义上的变化 (ATE=-0.11/100,000;p=0.1).
- 与怀孕相关的杀人率也没有显著变化 (0.28/100,000分娩;p=0.8).
- 成年女性的整体谋杀率没有显著变化 (ATE=-0.03/100,000;p=0.1),在种族化群体中没有观察到显著变化.
结论:
- 新泽西州的保释制度改革与对妇女的致命暴力事件的增加无关.
- 减少审前拘留的政策有可能在不加剧对妇女的暴力行为的情况下实施.
- 解决针对妇女的暴力和大规模监禁需要全面的干预,包括住房和经济支持,超越犯罪.
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