从1985年到2023年,斯瓦尔巴德的普遍冰川撤退
Tian Li1,2, Stefan Hofer3, Geir Moholdt4
1Chair of Data Science in Earth Observation, Department of Aerospace and Geodesy, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany. tian.li@bristol.ac.uk.
Nature communications
|January 15, 2025
概括
海洋终结冰川正在退缩,这是由于冰的动态和分娩前线的退缩. 海洋变暖显著影响季节性冰川变化,并加剧了未来的冰块质量损失.
科学领域:
- 冰川学的冰川学
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
- 气候科学 气候科学
背景情况:
- 预测海洋终结冰川的行为是具有挑战性的,因为人们对分娩前线动态的理解不佳.
- 降雪前线的撤退是导致冰川消失和海平面上升的关键因素.
研究的目的:
- 用深度学习分析斯瓦尔巴德冰川的分娩前线退缩模式.
- 研究海洋-大气相互作用对季节性和跨年冰川变化的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用深度学习来处理149个冰川的124,919个分娩前方位置 (1985-2023年).
- 分析了小牛前部撤退率的季节性和跨年变化.
- 与区域海洋变暖和大气温度异常相关的撤退模式.
主要成果:
- 在38年间,确定了非浮动冰川的普遍发育前线退缩.
- 观察到前位置的广泛季节周期,与与海洋变暖相关的西海岸和东海岸之间的相位延迟.
- 对大气和海洋变暖的退缩表现出敏感性,在2016年和2019年出现了显著的反应.
结论:
- 冰洋相互作用是季节性分娩前线变化的主要驱动因素.
- 未来的冰川撤退可能会因大气阻塞增加和区域变暖而加剧,导致大量的冰质量损失.
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