城市加油站的模糊可靠性评估方法基于扩展的TS故障树
Daqing Wang1,2, Ping Liang1,2, Tingting Luo1
1School of Petroleum Engineering, Chongqing University of Science & Technology, Chongqing, 401331, China.
Heliyon
|January 16, 2025
概括
本研究介绍了城市加油站 (CGS) 的模糊可靠性评估,通过解决元件故障不确定性来提高安全性. 该方法改善了稳定的城市天然气供应风险分析.
科学领域:
- 工程 工程师 工程师 工程师
- 可靠性工程可靠性工程
- 模糊逻辑应用 模糊逻辑应用
背景情况:
- 城市加油站 (CGS) 对城市天然气供应至关重要.
- 基础设施老化和组件退化引发了安全性和可靠性的担忧.
- 现有的评估方法与故障不确定性作斗争.
研究的目的:
- 为CGS开发一个模糊可靠性评估方法.
- 为了解释故障多态性,不确定的关系,概率和大小.
- 加强城市天然气供应基础设施的安全性和可靠性分析.
主要方法:
- 利用TS模糊门和TS模糊断层树进行事件相关性.
- 使用模糊数字和模糊组对组件故障状态的决策.
- 应用贝叶斯更新用于用稀疏数据估计故障概率.
- 实施了TS模糊重要性分析,以确定系统的弱点.
主要成果:
- 为CGS开发了一种新的模糊可靠性评估方法.
- 成功建模了复杂的故障相互依赖和不确定性.
- 通过城市天然气配送站的案例研究证明了有效性.
- 在CGS中确定了关键组件和弱点.
结论:
- 拟议的模糊方法改善了CGS可靠性评估.
- 这些发现支持优化CGS设计和预防性维护策略.
- 为确保稳定和安全的城市天然气供应提供了有价值的见解.
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