全球多年干旱的发生和影响
Liangzhi Chen1, Philipp Brun1, Pascal Buri1
1Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL, Birmensdorf, Switzerland.
概括
全球多年干旱 (MYD) 事件正在恶化,变得更加炎热和干燥,对植被产生重大影响. 这项研究对MYD进行了清单, 显示了受影响土地的惊人增长,
科学领域:
- 气候科学
- 环境科学
- 生态学
背景情况:
- 在全球气候变化背景下,持续的多年干旱 (MYD) 是一个重大和不断升级的威胁.
- 这些事件对全球自然生态系统和人类社会产生影响.
研究的目的:
- 识别和量化全球多年干旱事件.
- 分析1980年至2018年的MYD严重程度,范围和生态影响的趋势.
- 提供MYD准备和适应战略的全球基准.
主要方法:
- 检测时空连续的气候异常以确定MYD事件.
- 对MYD的发生,严重程度和受影响的土地面积进行定量库存和趋势分析.
- 使用卫星数据评估植被绿色变化,以确定生态影响.
主要成果:
- 从1980年到2018年,全球受MYD影响的陆地面积大幅扩大,以49,279±14,771公里/年的速度.
- 在研究期间,MYD变得越来越干燥和热.
- 温带草原在MYD期间的植被绿色下降最明显,而森林的敏感性较低.
结论:
- 全球多年干旱的发生频率和强度都在增加.
- 特别是温带草原的植被非常容易受到MYD的影响.
- 对于有效的气候变化适应和减缓计划,全面了解MYD的趋势和影响至关重要.
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