来自全球野火的增强CH4排放可能是由于未被检测到的小型火灾
Junri Zhao1,2, Philippe Ciais1,3, Frederic Chevallier3
1Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Ecological Remediation and Carbon Sequestration, Institute of Environment and Ecology, Tsinghua Shenzhen International Graduate School, Tsinghua University, Shenzhen, China.
Nature communications
|January 17, 2025
概括
全球火灾甲排放量比以前估计的高出27%,这是由于未被检测到的火灾造成的. 这一发现对于理解气候变化和制定全球气候目标至关重要.
科学领域:
- 地球科学 地球科学 地球科学
- 大气科学 大气科学
- 气候科学 气候科学
背景情况:
- 在评估气候变化方面,对陆地生态系统的甲 (CH4) 监测至关重要.
- 越来越多的大火放大了CH4排放量,使准确的全球估计变得复杂.
- 由于时空空间的变化,准确地描述火灾排放具有挑战性.
研究的目的:
- 为了重建全球火灾的CH4排放.
- 为了将大气逆转估计与现有的火灾排放模型进行比较.
- 为了提高对火-碳-气候反的理解.
主要方法:
- 基于一氧化碳 (CO) 的综合卫星大气逆转.
- 运用良好的约束火的CH4到CO排放比率图.
- 从2003年到2020年重建的全球火灾CH4排放量.
主要成果:
- 全球火灾CH4排放量平均为24.0 Tg年-1 (2003-2020).
- 这一估计大约比四种广泛使用的火灾排放模型的平均估计高出27%.
- 由于未检测到的小型火灾和粗略数据中未充分表现的排放强度而导致的差异.
结论:
- 使用CO等火灾追踪器进行大气逆转,为追踪火-碳-气候反提供了一种有价值的方法.
- 当前的火灾排放模型可能低估了来自火灾的CH4贡献.
- 改进的CH4排放估计对于准确的气候变化建模和政策至关重要.
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