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管理和减轻未来的公共卫生风险:行星边界,全球灾难风险和包容性财富
Eoin McLaughlin1,2, Matthias Beck3
1Edinburgh Business School, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, UK.
概括
行星边界 (PBs) 和全球灾难风险 (GCRs) 是不同的,但相关的生存风险. 需要采取统一的方法来管理这些长期的全球风险,强调包容性财富和自然资本管理.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 风险管理 风险管理
- 全球健康 全球健康
背景情况:
- 两个主要框架,行星边界 (PBs) 和全球灾难风险 (GCRs),评估存在的威胁.
- 这些框架通常以孤立的方式运作,研究特定的威胁和不同的时间尺度 (缓慢与短期).
研究的目的:
- 倡导一种统一的方法来管理全球长期风险.
- 探索PB和GCR之间的重叠和复杂性.
- 提出监测和减轻这些风险的方法.
主要方法:
- 对PB和GCR框架的文献综述和概念分析.
- 案例研究分析 (公共卫生:流行病和粮食不安全) 以说明相互联系.
- 建议"包容性财富"作为风险管理的经济指标.
主要成果:
- 确定需要弥合PB和GCR之间的文献差距.
- 使用公共卫生实例,证明了缓慢的PB和短期GCR之间的复杂相互作用.
- 提出包容性财富作为监测经济活动意想不到的后果的指标.
结论:
- 对全球风险管理而言,采用整体方法至关重要.
- 保护自然资本需要对各种全球风险进行综合管理.
- 强调包容性财富可以有助于减轻经济活动的意外后果.
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