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相关概念视频

What is Weather?01:07

What is Weather?

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Overview
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Precipitation and Co-precipitation01:17

Precipitation and Co-precipitation

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Precipitation and coprecipitation methods can be used to separate a mixture of ions in a solution. In qualitative inorganic analysis, ions that form sparingly soluble precipitates with the same reagent are separated based on the differences in solubility products. For example, consider the separation of Cu(II) and Fe(II) ions by precipitation as insoluble sulfides. First, copper(II) sulfide is precipitated by the addition of acidic H2S, where the dissociation of H2S is suppressed. Adding H2S...
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Global Climate Change01:50

Global Climate Change

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Throughout its ~4.5 billion year history, the Earth has experienced periods of warming and cooling. However, the current drastic increase in global temperatures is well outside of the Earth’s cyclic norms, and evidence for human-caused global climate change is compelling. Paleoclimatology, the study of ancient climate conditions, provides ample evidence for human-caused global climate change by comparing recent conditions with those in the past.
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Precipitation Processes01:12

Precipitation Processes

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The experimental conditions in a gravimetric analysis should be optimized to maximize the particle size and purity of the obtained precipitate. Ideally, the concentration of the precipitating reagent should be low with effective stirring to maintain low relative supersaturation for the growth of large crystals. In homogeneous precipitation, the precipitant is slowly generated by a chemical reaction in the solution to avoid local reagent excesses. For example, urea decomposes gradually to...
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What is Climate?01:16

What is Climate?

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Climate refers to the prevailing weather conditions in a specific area over an extended period. As the saying goes, “Climate is what you expect. Weather is what you get.” Climate is influenced by geographic factors, such as latitude, terrain, and proximity to bodies of water.
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Precipitation Gravimetry01:03

Precipitation Gravimetry

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Precipitation gravimetry is based on converting an analyte into a sparingly soluble precipitate, which is separated by filtration and weighed. An ideal precipitate should be pure, insoluble, of known composition, and easily filtered from the reaction mixture.
In determining nickel by gravimetric analysis, a precipitant of ethanolic dimethylglyoxime is added to a hot nickel salt solution. This is quickly followed by the dropwise addition of dilute ammonia solution until precipitation occurs. A...
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Updated: Jun 1, 2025

Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
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预计局部极端降水变化的确定性越来越高.

Chao Li1,2, Jieyu Liu3, Fujun Du4,5

  • 1Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science, Ministry of Education, East China Normal University, Shanghai, China. cli@geo.ecnu.edu.cn.

Nature communications
|January 20, 2025
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概括

气候模型显示,未来极端降水的不确定性很大. 这种新方法使当地预测提高了20%以上,有助于世界上大部分地区的适应计划.

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科学领域:

  • 气候科学 气候科学
  • 极端天气事件 极端天气事件
  • 适应规划适应规划

背景情况:

  • 气候模型在预测未来极端降水变化方面表现出显著的不确定性,阻碍了有效的适应战略.
  • 现有的观测约束往往不足以进行地方规模的适应计划,这需要详细的,本地化的预测.

研究的目的:

  • 开发和验证一种新的策略,以减少局部范围极端降水预测中的不确定性.
  • 在高排放场景下提高世纪末降水变化预测的准确性.

主要方法:

  • 实施基于温度的新兴约束策略与数据聚合相结合.
  • 结合了与全球变暖相关的极端降水变化的热力学和动态成分.
  • 严格的交叉验证,以评估开发的方法的可靠性.

主要成果:

  • 在高排放场景下,在全球范围内,预计每年极端每日降水变化中的错误差异减少了20%以上.
  • 改进的预测适用于全球大多数地区,可能使全球90%的人口受益.
  • 物理动机策略在限制局部预测方面证明了可靠性.

结论:

  • 提出的基于温度的新兴约束策略显著提高了当地极端降水预测的可靠性.
  • 改进的地方预测有助于更准确的影响评估和更明智的适应规划.
  • 这种方法为全球各地的地方层面提供了更强大的气候变化适应战略的途径.