对实证和混合机器学习模型进行比较评估,以估计在亚湿和半干旱气候下每天的参考蒸发转化率
Siham Acharki1,2, Ali Raza3, Dinesh Kumar Vishwakarma4
1Faculty of Sciences and Technologies of Tangier, Abdelmalek Essaadi University, 93000, Tetouan, Morocco.
Scientific reports
|January 20, 2025
概括
准确的参考蒸发透气 (RET) 估计对于水资源管理至关重要. 混合机器学习模型,如XGBoost-LightGBM,比传统方法显示出更高的准确性,特别是在有限的数据.
科学领域:
- 农业用水管理农业用水管理
- 水文学 水文学
- 气候科学 气候科学
背景情况:
- 准确的参考蒸发透气 (RET) 估计对于水资源管理和灌规划至关重要.
- 粮农组织-56 潘曼-蒙蒂斯 (PM-FAO56) 模型被广泛使用,但往往由于不完整的气象数据而受到限制.
- 这项研究解决了在摩洛哥的加尔布和卢克斯灌周边改善RET估计的需要.
研究的目的:
- 评估各种实证和机器学习 (ML) 模型的性能,以进行每日RET估计.
- 将混合ML模型与传统方法以及基准PM-FAO56模型进行比较.
- 在亚湿和半干旱农业地区确定最准确的RET估计模型.
主要方法:
- 测试了8个经验模型和4个ML模型 (RF,M5P,XGBoost,LightGBM),包括混合组合.
- 使用气象变量 (Tmax,Tmin,RHmean,Rs,U2) 的六种输入数据组合被使用.
- 模型的性能使用Kling-Gupta效率 (KGE),R2,RMSE和RRSE进行评估.
主要成果:
- 在Valiantzas 2013 (VAL2013b) 经验模型显示强的表现,表现优于其他.
- 混合ML模型,特别是XGBoost-LightGBM和RF-LightGBM,实现了最高的精度.
- 与其他方法相比,这些混合模型显示RMSE值明显较低.
结论:
- 混合ML模型为RET估计提供了一个高度准确的替代方案,特别是当数据有限时.
- 这些发现支持使用先进的ML技术来加强水资源管理和灌计划.
- 这项研究为优化类似气候地区的农业用水利用提供了宝贵的见解.
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