巴西口腔喉癌发生率和趋势
Lady Paola Aristizabal Arboleda1, Dyego Leandro Bezerra de Souza2, Diego Rodrigues Mendonça E Silva3
1Graduate Program of A.C.Camargo Cancer Center, São Paulo, Brazil.
概括
巴西的口腔癌发病率正在上升,特别是在南部和东南部. 趋势显示,到2034年,男性的发病率将会上升,女性的发病率将会下降.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 在瘤学瘤学.
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 全球口腔癌发病率正在增加,与人类乳头瘤病毒 (HPV) 有关.
- 关于巴西口癌发病率的数据有限.
- 这项研究解决了巴西地区发生率数据的需求.
研究的目的:
- 为了估计巴西口腔大癌的发病率和趋势.
- 预测到2034年未来的口腔喉癌发病率.
- 在巴西基于人口的癌症登记册 (PBCR) 中,根据月经,性别和地形分析发病率.
主要方法:
- 利用了从1988年至2020年间30个巴西PBCR的数据.
- 使用2010年巴西人口普查数据计算了年龄标准化发病率.
- 员工结合点回归和年龄期队列模型用于趋势分析和预测.
主要成果:
- 记录了17980例口腔癌病例,主要是55-59岁的男性.
- 口腔大 (其他未指明),舌头底部和桃体是受影响最严重的地方.
- 东南部和南部地区的发病率最高;趋势因性别和地区而异.
结论:
- 巴西的口腔癌发病率呈现出显著的区域差异,南部和东南部的发病率更高.
- 未来的预测表明不同的趋势:巴西北部和南部的女性减少,男性增加.
- 巴西口腔癌的HPV可归因的部分仍未确定.
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