重新审视地缘政治风险与生态足迹之间的关系:基于双重机器学习的全面分析
Chen Zhang1, Qiang Wang1, Rongrong Li1
1School of Economics and Management, China University of Petroleum (East China), Qingdao, 266580, People's Republic of China.
Journal of environmental management
|January 21, 2025
概括
地缘政治风险增加了生态足迹,特别是在低收入国家. 能源转型可以减轻这种影响,为实现生态可持续性提供一条道路.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
背景情况:
- 全球地缘政治冲突破坏了经济发展与生态可持续性之间的平衡.
- 了解地缘政治风险对生态足迹的影响对于实现可持续发展目标至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 探索地缘政治风险如何影响生态足迹的模式.
- 分析能源转型和收入异质性的调节作用.
主要方法:
- 双机器学习模型 (DML) 用于高精度分析.
- 多窗口内核密度估计 (KDE) 分析生态足迹的空间和时间特征.
主要成果:
- 地缘政治风险对生态足迹产生积极影响.
- 能源转型削弱了地缘政治风险对生态足迹的积极影响.
- 与高收入国家相比,地缘政治风险对低收入国家的生态足迹的影响更大.
结论:
- 地缘政治风险对生态可持续性构成重大威胁.
- 能源转型战略可以帮助减轻地缘政治不稳定的负面环境影响.
- 在应对地缘政治风险对生态的影响时,政策干预应考虑收入异质性.
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