全球白血病负担和趋势:1990-2021年使用GBD (全球疾病负担) 数据对时间和空间变化的全面分析
1Fujian University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Fuzhou, Fujian, People's Republic of China.
BMC public health
|January 21, 2025
概括
全球白血病负担已经减少,但差异仍然存在,特别是在男性和老年人中. 有针对性的公共卫生战略对于应对不同区域和社会经济影响至关重要.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 在瘤学瘤学.
背景情况:
- 白血病是全球卫生面临的重大挑战,原因是发病率和死亡率高.
- 分析白血病趋势对于了解其对公共健康的影响和为干预措施提供信息至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 对1990年至2021年全球白血病负担进行深入分析.
- 检查发病率,死亡率和残疾调整寿命年 (DALYs) 的趋势.
- 用先进的统计模型预测未来的白血病负担.
主要方法:
- 从1990年到2021年使用的全球疾病负担 (GBD) 研究数据.
- 使用描述性,趋势,集群和预测分析 (ARIMA,ES).
- 计算的年龄标准化利率 (ASR) 和估计年度百分比变化 (EAPC).
主要成果:
- 从1990年到2021年,全球白血病负担 (DALYs) 减少了0.94的EAPC.
- 在不同地区,性别 (男性更高) 和年龄组 (老年人变化最大) 中观察到的变化.
- 预测模型预测持续下降,但区域差异需要注意.
结论:
- 医学进步已经减少了全球整体白血病负担.
- 对于特定的人口结构和低收入地区而言,存在着持续的挑战.
- 定制的公共卫生战略和加强的医疗保健系统对于公平的结果至关重要.
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