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从1990年到2030年,亚洲的脑内出血负担:一个基于人口的研究
Haomiao Wang1, Jinxin Lin2, Fengchun Zhao1
1Department of Neurosurgery and Key Laboratory of Neurotrauma, Southwest Hospital, Third Military Medical University (Army Medical University), Chongqing, China.
Neuroepidemiology
|January 22, 2025
概括
在亚洲,从1990年到2021年,脑内出血 (ICH) 的发病率和死亡率下降,但绝对病例增加. 未来的ICH负担预计将增加,需要定制的预防策略.
科学领域:
- 神经学 神经学
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 脑内出血 (ICH) 是一种严重的中风亚型,具有重大的全球健康和经济影响.
- 对于亚洲的ICH存在有限的流行病学数据,该地区的疾病负担很高.
- 了解时间趋势和特征对于有效管理至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析1990年至2021年亚洲脑内出血 (ICH) 发病率和死亡率的时间趋势.
- 描述ICH在人口和地理位置上的分布.
- 预测未来ICH在亚洲地区的负担.
主要方法:
- 利用了2021年全球疾病负担研究的数据.
- 研究的ICH和死亡的年龄标准化率和绝对病例数.
- 员工估计的年度百分比变化用于趋势分析和预测的ARIMA模型.
主要成果:
- 根据年龄标准化的ICH发病率和死亡率从1990年到2021年有所下降.
- 绝对ICH病例数量增加,地理差异很大.
- 男人面临更高的ICH负担;风险因素对残疾调整寿命年的影响有所不同.
- 预测预测,与2021年的水平相比,亚洲的ICH负担将增加.
结论:
- 该研究提供了亚洲ICH流行病学 (1990-2021) 的全面概述.
- 确定了该地区ICH未来负担的不同轨迹.
- 预测ICH负担的增加对于制定有针对性的公共卫生干预措施至关重要.
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