补贴,标准,还是两者兼而有之? 100%零排放汽车销售政策之间的权衡
Jonn Axsen1, Chandan Bhardwaj1
1School of Resource and Environmental Management, Simon Fraser University, 8888 University Drive, Burnaby, British Columbia V5A 1S6, Canada.
Environmental science & technology
|January 22, 2025
概括
严格的零排放汽车 (ZEV) 销售标准比补贴更有效,以实现到2035年在加拿大实现100%的ZEV销售. 该标准推动了ZEV价格的降低和汽车制造商研发的增加,与补贴不同.
科学领域:
- 环境政策 环境政策
- 运输经济学 运输经济学
- 汽车行业分析 汽车行业分析
背景情况:
- 许多地区的目标是到2035年实现100%的轻型零排放汽车 (ZEV) 销售.
- 加拿大正在探索政策选择,以实现这一ZEV销售目标.
研究的目的:
- 为了比较ZEV销售标准与加拿大的购买补贴策略的有效性.
- 分析对ZEV采用,温室气体减排和汽车市场的政策影响.
主要方法:
- 利用AUT制造商-消费者模型 (AUM) 从2023年到2035年进行政策模拟.
- 与严格的ZEV销售标准与每辆ZEV购买15k美元的补贴进行了比较.
- 对ZEV销售,温室气体排放,车辆定价和汽车制造商利的评估影响.
主要成果:
- 补贴策略导致到2035年ZEV销量达到44-69%,汽车制造商利增加.
- 到2035年,ZEV销售标准实现了ZEV销售的95-100%,ZEV价格降低了22%,并增加了汽车制造商的研发投资.
- 该标准降低了汽车制造商的累计利,但与2023年相比,增加了2035年的年度利.
结论:
- 严格的ZEV销售标准是加拿大实现高ZEV采用率的更有效的政策.
- 将补贴与ZEV标准相结合,可以实现ZEV目标,同时减轻汽车制造商的利减少.
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