新西兰的自杀是否遵循半月节奏?
David Cumin1, Nicholas Matzke2, Rikki Solomon3
1Senior Lecturer, Anaesthesiology, The University of Auckland.
The New Zealand medical journal
|January 23, 2025
概括
这项研究发现,新西兰的月球周期和自杀率之间没有联系,无论是一般人群还是毛利人群. 证据不支持月球对自杀统计数据的影响的说法.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 精神病学是一个精神病学.
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- 月球周期对人类行为的影响是一个持续的公众和媒体的兴趣.
- 将月球周期与犯罪或自杀率联系在一起的说法缺乏一致的经验支持.
- 最近的媒体报道表明,新西兰自杀率与毛利玛拉卡塔纳月历之间的相关性.
研究的目的:
- 为了调查月球相与新西兰的自杀率之间的联系.
- 为了检查这一关系,无论是一般人口和毛利人的小组.
- 批判性地评估关于月球对自杀统计数据的影响的说法,特别是关于马拉卡纳达日历.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自国家冠状病毒信息系统 (NCIS) 和新西兰卫生部的二十年 (2000-2022) 自杀数据.
- 采用了统计分析,包括波桑回归模型和共弦曲线分析.
- 在单变量和多变量模型中考虑了年度,季节性和每周一天的变化.
主要成果:
- 对于整个新西兰人口来说,月相与自杀率之间没有统计学意义上的相关性.
- 分析显示,在毛利人人口小组中,月相与自杀率之间没有显著的关联.
- 没有月球对自杀率的影响在所有分析方法中都是一致的.
结论:
- 这项研究提供了强有力的证据,驳斥了新西兰月球相与自杀率之间的直接联系.
- 这些发现挑战了最近媒体的说法,并强调了基于证据的心理健康干预措施的必要性.
- 建议进行进一步的研究,以探索月球对其他心理健康指标和传统毛利实践的影响.
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