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预测埃及住宅项目中的建筑垃圾:一个强大的多重回归模型方法
Mohamed KhairEldin1, Ahmed Osama Daoud2, Ahmed Hussein Ibrahim3
1Construction Engineering and Utilities Department, Faculty of Engineering, Zagazig University, Zagazig, 44519, Egypt. mkatwa@eng.zu.edu.eg.
Scientific reports
|January 23, 2025
概括
这项研究开发了准确的多重线性回归模型,以预测埃及住宅建筑中的建筑垃圾 (混凝土,,钢). 这些模型有助于有效的资源规划和可持续发展,与埃及的2030年愿景保持一致.
科学领域:
- 环境工程 环境工程
- 建设管理建设管理.
- 可持续发展 可持续发展 可持续发展
背景情况:
- 建筑垃圾 (CW) 带来了重大的环境和经济挑战.
- 混凝土,和钢废物的有效管理对建筑行业至关重要.
- 埃及建筑业在管理大量的废物产生方面面临着挑战.
研究的目的:
- 开发埃及住宅建筑中建筑垃圾产生预测模型.
- 确定影响废物产生的关键因素,包括建筑设计和现场管理.
- 通过准确的废物预测,加强资源规划和废物管理战略.
主要方法:
- 利用了多个线性回归模型.
- 分析了25个住宅建筑案例研究的数据.
- 纳入的变量,如总面积,设计一致性和站点组织.
主要成果:
- 模型实现了对混凝土的高预测准确性 (Adj. R2=0.877),块 (补充) 的使用情况. R2=0.893),以及钢铁废弃物 (Adj. R2=0.889) 的情况.
- 这些模型解释了住宅建筑垃圾产生的差异约88-89%.
- 诸如总面积,设计一致性和现场组织等因素显著提高了预测准确度.
结论:
- 开发的模型是预测埃及建筑垃圾的有效工具.
- 准确的废物预测可以实现更好的资源规划,减少材料消耗,并尽量减少对环境的影响.
- 调查结果支持采用可持续建筑实践,并为埃及的2030年愿景目标做出贡献.
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