一个新的机制-基于等效的Tweedie指数分散过程,用于适应性降解建模和寿命预测
Jiayue Wu1, Yujie Liu1, Han Wang1,2
1School of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China.
Sensors (Basel, Switzerland)
|January 25, 2025
概括
预测机械零件的剩余使用寿命 (RUL) 是至关重要的. 一个新的基于机制等价的Tweedie指数分散过程 (ME-based TEDP) 模型通过适应降解变化来提高RUL预测的准确性.
科学领域:
- 可靠性工程可靠性工程
- 机械系统分析 机械系统分析
- 随机过程 随机过程
背景情况:
- 准确的剩余使用寿命 (RUL) 预测对于机械元件至关重要.
- 传统的随机模型在处理降解变化和假设方面存在局限性.
- 现有的方法在降解机制的动态变化中扎.
研究的目的:
- 为RUL预测引入一种新的自适应性降解建模方法.
- 解决传统随机模型在捕捉降解机制变化的局限性.
- 提高机械元件的RUL预测的准确性和可解释性.
主要方法:
- 开发了一种基于机制等价的Tweedie指数分散过程 (ME-based TEDP).
- 嵌入的降解机制等同于模型参数相关性.
- 采用了用于自适应RUL预测的动态测试-建模-预测策略.
主要成果:
- 基于ME的TEDP模型有效地捕捉了降解参数之间的相关性.
- 动态策略提高了预测准确性和可解释性.
- 与现有的RUL预测方法相比,表现优越.
结论:
- 基于ME的TEDP为自适应性降解建模提供了先进的解决方案.
- 这种方法显著提高了关键机械元件的RUL预测的精度.
- 该研究推进了退化建模理论和实际RUL预测能力.
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