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新西兰鸟类巨型动物的灭绝是人类到来不可避免的后果吗?
Sean Tomlinson1, Mark V Lomolino2, Jamie R Wood3
1School of Biological Sciences, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA 5000, Australia.
The Science of the total environment
|January 25, 2025
概括
人类的过度剥削导致了新西兰的摩亚动物灭绝. 即使收获率低,避免莫阿灭绝也需要不切实际的保护措施,为现代巨型动物保护提供了教训.
科学领域:
- 古生态学 古生态学
- 保护生物学 保护生物学
- 计算生态学计算生态学
背景情况:
- 由于人类的过度开发,数百种鸟类已经消失,特别是在大洋洲.
- 在新西兰,九种巨型,无法飞行的莫阿的灭绝是鸟类灭绝的一个重大案例.
- 人类造成的莫亚灭绝的不可避免性一直是争论的主题.
研究的目的:
- 使用空间显式的人口模型,严格评估莫阿的灭绝驱动因素.
- 为了测试莫亚的灭绝是否可以通过缓和人类的狩猎行为来避免.
- 为保护当代临灭绝的大型动物提供见解.
主要方法:
- 六种莫亚物种的空间显式人口模型.
- 纳入与气候,景观和人类殖民者的特定物种相互作用.
- 模型与化石记录的人口和分布推断的验证.
主要成果:
- 摩阿鸟 (成年和次成年) 估计的年收获率很低 (4.0-6.0%).
- 据估计,蛋的年收获率也相对较低 (2.5-12.0%).
- 避免Moa的灭绝将需要不可思议的大型禁捕区 (超过50%的土地) 和极低的收获率 (每年1%).
结论:
- 鉴于波利尼西亚殖民的历史背景,莫亚的灭绝很可能是不可避免的.
- 当前危巨型动物的保护策略可以从这些建模方法中受益.
- 这项研究强调了减轻人类对脆弱物种的影响的挑战,即使剥削水平似乎很低.
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