对风险偏好措施的时间稳定性和趋同有效性的系统审查和元分析
Alexandra Bagaïni1, Yunrui Liu1, Madlaina Kapoor1
1Faculty of Psychology, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Nature human behaviour
|January 27, 2025
概括
风险偏好稳定性在不同的测量类型,领域和年龄组之间有很大的差异. 措施之间的低一致性质疑风险偏好作为一种结构的连贯性.
科学领域:
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
- 心理测量 心理测量 心理测量
- 决策科学科学 决策科学
背景情况:
- 了解风险偏好对于解释和预测与风险相关的行为至关重要.
- 评估风险偏好作为心理特征的稳定性和一致性至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 系统地审查和元分析风险偏好措施的时间稳定性.
- 调查调节风险偏好稳定性的因素,包括措施类型,领域和样本特征.
- 评估不同风险偏好指标的收有效性.
主要方法:
- 系统审查和个人参与者数据的元分析.
- 包括来自33个小组,57个样本和579,114名受访者的358个风险偏好措施.
- 在各种测量类别,领域和样本人口统计数据中分析时间稳定性和融合有效性.
主要成果:
- 在测量类别,领域和年龄之间观察到时间稳定性的显著异质性.
- 自我报告的倾向和频率测量显示出比行为测量更高的稳定性,根据领域和年龄调节.
- 不同风险偏好措施之间低达成的协议表明收有效性较差.
结论:
- 风险偏好结构的时间稳定性和连贯性是可疑的.
- 现有的措施可能无法捕捉到风险偏好的单一,稳定的潜在现象.
- 需要进一步的研究来完善风险偏好的测量和概念化.
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