基于人口普查对人口数据的纠正对德国死亡率的影响
Andreas Stang1,2,3, Markus Deckert4
1Institute of Medical Informatics, Biometry and Epidemiology, University Hospital of Essen, Hufelandstr. 55, 45147, Essen, Germany. imibe.dir@uk-essen.de.
Population health metrics
|January 28, 2025
概括
德国 德国 德国 德国
科学领域:
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 德国人口数据是使用出生,死亡和移民统计数据进行更新的.
- 2011年人口普查在长时间更新后提供了更正的人口数据.
- 本研究评估了基于人口普查的人口纠正对死亡率的影响.
研究的目的:
- 为了评估2011年人口普查对德国死亡率 (2011-2013) 的影响,修正了人口数据.
- 为了比较使用未经纠正和纠正的人口数据的死亡率.
- 分析标准人口选择在年龄标准化中的影响.
主要方法:
- 总,癌症和心血管疾病死亡率的比较.
- 利用未经纠正和2011年人口普查纠正的人口数据.
- 评估不同标准人群对年龄标准化率的影响.
主要成果:
- 90岁以上男性的癌症死亡率呈现出逆转趋势,经过纠正的数字.
- 经过校正的数据增加了死亡率的幅度,特别是在老年男性中.
- 心血管疾病的死亡率模式在质量上仍然相似,但在规模上有所增加.
结论:
- 2011年人口普查的纠正导致了明显的死亡率上升,特别是在老年人群和城市地区.
- 在老年人群中发现了大量人口数字错误.
- 建议使用较低体重的年龄标准化,以准确计算年龄率.
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