火山爆发后近地风速的大幅降低:对风能发电产生影响
Cheng Shen1, Zhi-Bo Li1,2, Fei Liu3
1Regional Climate Group, Department of Earth Sciences, University of Gothenburg, 40530 Gothenburg, Sweden.
Innovation (Cambridge (Mass.))
|January 28, 2025
概括
两年来,主要的火山喷发通过削弱空气降落而持续降低全球近地表风速 (NSWS). 这一发现对大气中大量气溶注射后的风能潜力有影响.
科学领域:
- 大气科学 大气科学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 可再生能源可再生能源是可再生能源.
背景情况:
- 接近地表的风速 (NSWS) 对于风能发电至关重要.
- 火山爆发对新南威尔士海域的影响以前没有被探索过.
- 自然和人为因素影响NSWS.
研究的目的:
- 调查重大历史火山爆发对全球NSWS的影响.
- 量化喷发后NSWS和风力发电密度的减少.
- 了解推动这些变化的大气机制.
主要方法:
- 利用气候模型模拟,涵盖了上个千年.
- 分析了10次重大火山爆发的数据.
- 检查了亚热带下降空气和向下运动量流量的变化.
主要成果:
- 在10次重大喷发后,观察到持续2年的全球NSWS减少.
- NSWS减少了大约两次年间标准偏差 (公元851-1849年).
- 1815年坦波拉火山爆发导致全球风力发电密度在两年内减少了9.2%.
结论:
- 火山气溶强迫削弱了亚热带下降空气,减少了NSWS.
- 这项研究为了解喷雾剂注射后NSWS变化奠定了理论基础.
- 突出了火山爆发,核战争和气候干预对风能的潜在风险.
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