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当地民族人口统计和民族主义投票:从两次世界大战之间的南斯拉夫的证据
1Witten/Herdecke University.
概括
民族人口统计学显著影响东南欧洲的投票模式. 种族群体之间的近乎平等加剧了少数民族主义,减少了多数民族主义,特别是对自由党的民族主义.
科学领域:
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
背景情况:
- 民族投票是民主稳定的一个关键方面.
- 在多样化的社会中,了解种族间的动态至关重要.
- 东南欧为研究民族政治提供了独特的背景.
研究的目的:
- 分析当地种族人口统计学对种族投票的影响.
- 在一个研究不足的民主背景下测试威胁和接触假设.
- 检查种族平等与投票行为之间的相互作用.
主要方法:
- 利用了20世纪20年代南斯拉夫378个县的原始数据.
- 分析了四个议会选举周期.
- 采用了定量方法来评估人口统计学对投票的影响.
主要成果:
- 种族人口分布显著影响投票结果.
- 塞尔维亚人和克罗地亚人之间的几乎平等加剧了少数民族民族主义的投票.
- 在种族平等的背景下,多数民族主义者投票率下降,输给了自由党.
结论:
- 矛盾的是,民族平等可以赋予少数民族民族主义运动的力量.
- 大多数民族主义政党在种族平衡的选区可能表现不佳.
- 这项研究强调了人口统计,民族身份和选举政治之间的复杂关系.
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