人口老龄化中的骨科运动伤害:当前趋势和未来预测
Jay M Zaifman1,2, Martinus Megalla2,3, Zachary Grace2,3
1NYU Langone Orthopedic Hospital, NYU Langone Medical Center, New York City, New York.
Sports health
|January 29, 2025
概括
老年人体育相关伤害的频率和发生率都在显著上升. 医疗保健提供者必须为越来越多的患有这些伤害的老年患者做好准备.
科学领域:
- 老年医学 老年医学
- 整形外科手术 整形外科手术
- 运动医学运动医学
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 美国老年人人口正在扩大,并保持更长时间的活力.
- 缺乏关于老年人体育相关伤害的综合数据.
研究的目的:
- 估计65岁及以上美国成年人体育相关骨科伤害的全国发病率和趋势.
- 分析这些损伤的类型和原因随着时间的推移而发生的变化.
- 预测未来的受伤率,并将其与治疗医生的预计增加进行比较.
主要方法:
- 一项描述性的流行病学研究,利用2012年至2021年国家电子伤害监测系统 (NEISS) 的数据.
- 分析包括伤害数量,发病率和人口统计特征.
- 到2040年的预测是使用美国人口普查数据和医生劳动力估计进行的.
主要成果:
- 据估计,在2012年至2021年期间,65岁以上的个人发生了444,078起与体育有关的骨科伤害.
- 伤害人数 (32,573到50,909) 和全国发病率 (78到91每10万) 均显著增加 (P<0.01).
- 预计到2040年,受伤人数将增加119%,远远超过相关医生的预计增长19.7%.
结论:
- 在老年人群中,与运动有关的骨科伤害在体积和发病率方面都在明显增加.
- 医疗保健专业人员,特别是骨科外科医生,需要预见并为需要因体育伤害治疗的活跃老年患者的大量增加做好准备.
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