固定启动方法用于重复的项目调度,模拟火
Francisco Moreno1, Eric Forcael2, Francisco Orozco1
1College of Engineering, Universidad Panamericana, Guadalajara, Mexico.
Heliyon
|January 30, 2025
概括
本研究引入了一种新的固定启动方法 (FSM) 与模拟回火 (SA) 结合,以减少重复性施工中的项目完成时间变化. 该FSSA方法优化活动开始可预测的项目持续时间.
科学领域:
- 建设管理建设管理.
- 运营研究 运营研究
- 项目时间表编制
背景情况:
- 重复的建筑项目往往遭受高完成时间的变化.
- 现有的调度方法可能无法充分解决概率的不确定性.
- 可预测的项目完成对于资源分配和利益相关者的满意度至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 引入和评估一种新的方法,以减少重复性建设中的项目完成变化.
- 使用概率信心和元启发算法优化活动开始时间.
- 为了提高建筑项目时间表的可靠性.
主要方法:
- 应用固定启动方法 (FSM) 以确定具有高概率可靠性的活动启动时间.
- 使用模拟化 (SA) 的元启发算法优化概率信心水平.
- 通过使用离散事件模拟的案例研究验证FSM和SA (FSSA) 组合方法.
主要成果:
- 采用FSSA方法,项目完成时间变化显著下降.
- 差异系数 (COV) 用于评估FSSA方法的性能.
- 该研究证实了优化编程持续时间的概率信心的有效性.
结论:
- 拟议的FSSA方法有效地减少了重复性建筑项目的调度持续时间变化.
- 整合FSM和SA提供了一个强大的方法来提高建筑项目的可预测性.
- 离散事件模拟验证了FSSA方法的实际适用性和好处.
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