气候变化和温带地区的水源性疾病:系统性审查
Eunice A Salubi1, Zemichael Gizaw2, Corinne J Schuster-Wallace3
1Department of Geography and Planning, University of Saskatchewan, 117 Science Place, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan S7N 5C8, Canada; Global Institute for Water Security, University of Saskatchewan, 11 Innovation Boulevard, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan S7N 3H5, Canada
Journal of water and health
|January 30, 2025
概括
在温带地区,水源性疾病 (WBD) 的风险受到天气和水文因素的重大影响. 预计未来的气候变化将增加WBD风险,需要改进的建模方法.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 气候变化研究 气候变化研究
背景情况:
- 水源性疾病 (WBDs) 在温带气候中仍然是一个持续的威胁.
- 气候变化对WBD和未来风险预测的确切影响尚不清楚.
研究的目的:
- 系统地审查温带地区的WBD,重点关注与气候相关的驱动因素和未来的预测.
- 识别与气候变化有关的流行水源病原体,疾病及其传播周期.
主要方法:
- 从Scopus和Web of Science (2010-2023) 中对温带地区的WBD进行了75篇同行评审文章的系统审查.
- 采用专题分析来确定影响WBD风险的气候相关因素.
主要成果:
- 天气 (降雨量:22%,大雨量:19%) 和水文因素 (欧洲的溪流流量:50%) 显著影响WBD风险.
- 未来的气候场景表明,温带地区的WBD风险可能会增加.
结论:
- 气候变化给温带地区的水源性疾病带来了越来越大的风险.
- 为更准确的未来风险评估,建议采用集成的数据驱动和基于过程的模型.
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