为全球免疫决策提供传播建模指南的发展提供信息:定性需求评估
Julie Leask1, Maria Christou-Ergos1, Ikram Abdi1
1The University of Sydney, Faculty of Medicine and Health, School of Public Health and Sydney Infectious Diseases Institute, Australia.
Vaccine
|January 31, 2025
概括
数学建模支持免疫决策,但专业知识差距阻碍了其使用. 需要指导来建立信心,并确保对全球卫生战略有效应用模拟证据.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 卫生政策 卫生政策
背景情况:
- 数学传输模型对于告知免疫计划决策和评估干预影响至关重要.
- 在许多国家,与专业知识和资源相关的障碍限制了模拟证据的有效使用.
- 世界卫生组织 (WHO) 成立了一个小组,以加强免疫建模证据的生成,翻译和应用.
研究的目的:
- 确定最终用户的需求,包括决策者和建模者,为世界卫生组织指南的制定提供信息.
- 了解全球免疫计划中目前如何使用和感知数学建模.
- 确定模拟证据用户所面临的挑战,并确定有效的支持机制.
主要方法:
- 与全球不同地区和收入水平的疫苗接种决策者和建模者进行了15次深入采访.
- 探索模型的理解和使用,证据利用的挑战,以及所需的指导格式.
- 使用框架方法对面试成绩单进行系统分析.
主要成果:
- 经验丰富的建模师系统地使用数学建模,通常在顾问角色.
- 经验较少的用户,特别是在政策角色中,表达的信心较低,有时不使用建模.
- 所有参与者都强调了加强能力,本地化应用和持续参与的必要性,以有效地使用建模证据.
结论:
- 指导对于解决经验丰富和未经验丰富的免疫学数学建模用户的各种需求至关重要.
- 能力建设和量身定制的支持对于提高决策者的信心和使用建模证据的能力至关重要.
- 该研究的结果将直接为世卫组织的指导提供信息,以更好地支持免疫战略和政策制定.
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