混合式停车位预测模型:集成ARIMA,长短期内存 (LSTM) 和反向传播神经网络 (BPNN) 来实现智慧城市发展
Anchal Dahiya1, Pooja Mittal1, Yogesh Kumar Sharma2
1Department of Computer Science & Applications, MDU, Rohtak, Haryana, India.
PeerJ. Computer science
|February 3, 2025
概括
结合ARIMA和LSTM与BPNN的新混合型号显著提高了智能城市的停车位预测准确度. 这种方法减少了错误,为城市交通和停车挑战提供了可扩展的解决方案.
科学领域:
- 智慧城市技术 智慧城市技术
- 人工智能的人工智能
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
背景情况:
- 城市停车场短缺和交通拥堵是智能城市面临的主要挑战.
- 准确的停车位预测对于高效的城市流动性至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 提出一种新的,可扩展的混合模型,用于准确预测停车位.
- 通过整合多个AI模型来提高预测准确性.
主要方法:
- 一个双相混合模型,集成线性数据的自动回归集成移动平均 (ARIMA) 和非线性数据的长短期内存 (LSTM).
- 逆向传播神经网络 (BPNN) 在第二阶段用于最大限度地减少预测错误.
- 利用墨尔本和哈佛的物联网数据集,进行预处理以确保数据质量.
主要成果:
- 在墨尔本数据集上实现了低误差指标:MSE为0.32,MAE为0.48,RMSE为0.56.
- 在哈佛数据集上,与类似的低误差指标 (MSE:0.31,MAE:0.47,RMSE:0.56) 验证的概括性.
- 在两个数据集的预测准确性方面,超越了现有的模型.
结论:
- 拟议的混合模型为停车位预测提供了强大而准确的解决方案.
- 这项技术可以为可持续,经济的智慧城市做出重大贡献.
- 改进的停车预测提高了城市生活质量,减少了交通拥堵.
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