中国390个城市的绿化和避免死亡率 (2000-2020年)
John S Ji1, Zheng Tao1, Hui Miao1
1Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific
|February 3, 2025
概括
中国的城市绿化增加了,每年避免数千人死亡. 保持和增加绿色空间对于应对气候变化和城市化的公共卫生弹性至关重要.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 城市规划 城市规划
背景情况:
- 中国的快速城市化已经改变了城市景观.
- 绿色空间提供健康益处,并作为气候风险的基于自然的解决方案.
- 了解绿化趋势及其对健康的影响至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 从2000年到2020年,追踪中国城市地区的绿化趋势.
- 量化绿色空间变化对成人死亡率的影响.
- 评估绿色在城市健康弹性中的作用.
主要方法:
- 在1公里分辨率上绘制城市人口分布 (年龄20岁以上).
- 利用卫星遥感测量绿色空间并计算人口加权的NDVI.
- 分析了时空NDVI变化,并使用反事实场景计算了避免的死亡.
主要成果:
- 分析了390个城市,覆盖近5亿城市居民.
- 在大多数城市,人口加权的NDVI从2000年到2020年显示出整体增加.
- 减少的NDVI (2000-2010) 与~9951个额外的死亡/年相关;增加的NDVI (2010-2020) 避免了~37,653个死亡/年.
结论:
- 自2000年以来,城市绿色在中国普遍增加.
- 可持续的绿色管理是对人口健康的有效弹性因素.
- 增加绿色可以显著降低城市人口的死亡率.
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