机器学习算法用于预测未来的曲线,使用初次和第二次访问的数据,在女性青少年异常学脊椎病患者
Shuhei Ohyama1, Satoshi Maki2, Toshiaki Kotani3
1Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine, Chiba University, 1-8-1 Inohana, Chuo-ku, Chiba-city, Chiba, 260-8670, Japan. oyama.shuhei@gmail.com.
概括
一个机器学习模型使用早期访问数据准确地预测了青少年特异性脊椎病 (AIS) 患者未来的Cobb角度. 这有助于在最少的信息下管理脊椎病的进展.
科学领域:
- 整形外科 整形外科 整形外科
- 生物医学工程 生物医学工程
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
背景情况:
- 青少年异常学脊椎病 (AIS) 需要准确预测曲线的进展.
- 早期预测科布角对于及时干预AIS至关重要.
- 目前的方法可能需要大量的数据,限制了早期预测能力.
研究的目的:
- 开发一种机器学习 (ML) 模型,用于预测AIS患者未来的Cobb角度.
- 为了预测,利用初次访问的最小的放射和问卷数据.
- 创建不同曲线类型的预测模型 (近距离胸部,主要胸部,胸脊/腰椎).
主要方法:
- 从一个专门的脊椎缩中心回顾分析了887名女性AIS患者的数据.
- 从第一次,第二次和最后一次访问中收集人口和放射数据.
- 使用ML算法 (PyCaret在Python中) 开发个人回归模型,用于未来的Cobb角度,评估R2和MAE.
主要成果:
- 机器学习模型实现了对未来科布角的高预测精度.
- 顶级模型的R2值为0.73 (PT),0.63 (MT) 和0.61 (TLL).
- 绝对误差 (MAE) 的中位数为2.3° (PT),4.0° (MT) 和4.2° (TLL).
结论:
- 一个基于ML的模型有效地预测了女性AIS患者未来的Cobb角度.
- 该模型利用了在第一次和第二次临床访问期间通常可用的数据.
- 这种方法提供了一个有前途的工具,用于早期和准确的预测脊椎病的进展.
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