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一种新的以过程为基础的方法,用于定义在全球变化下的岩水层对污染风险的脆弱性.
Tamara Leins1, Mirjam Scheller2, Kübra Özdemir Çallı3
1Institute of Groundwater Management, TU Dresden, 01069 Dresden, Germany; Chair of Hydrological Modeling and Water Resources, University of Freiburg, 79098 Freiburg, Germany.
The Science of the total environment
|February 4, 2025
概括
用新的基于过程的方法评估了岩水层对污染的脆弱性. 发现气候变化对岩水资源的影响比土地利用变化更为重要.
科学领域:
- 水文地质学 水文地质学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 水资源管理 水资源管理
背景情况:
- 石灰岩地下水是至关重要的,但由于含水层的异质性,容易受到污染.
- 评估岩水层脆弱性和环境变化影响对于水质至关重要.
- 现有的方法可能无法完全捕捉岩系统的动态变化.
研究的目的:
- 开发和应用一种新的以过程为基础的方法来评估岩水层脆弱性.
- 调查气候和土地利用变化对岩水层脆弱性的影响.
- 预测未来环境条件对岩水资源的影响.
主要方法:
- 从追踪测试和突破曲线 (BTCs) 中推导出卡斯特运输参数.
- 应用了一个简单的运输模型与一个岩流模型相结合.
- 根据预计的气候和土地使用变化场景预测的BTC.
主要成果:
- 石灰岩水库的脆弱性因水文地质,流量状况,气候和土地利用而有所不同.
- 气候变化对岩水层脆弱性的影响超过了土地利用变化的影响.
- 未来的预测显示,随着季节性变化,岩脆弱性增加和减少的潜力.
结论:
- 拟议的方法是评估岩水层脆弱性的宝贵工具.
- 了解未来的变化对于安全的石水资源管理至关重要.
- 为了有效地管理石水,需要不断改进评估方法.
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