气候变化,人口增长和全球化影响巴基斯坦的粮食安全
Sohail Abbas1,2, Ahtisham Haider3, Shazia Kousar4
1College of Geographical Sciences, Faculty of Geographical Science and Engineering, Henan University, Zhengzhou, 450046, China.
Scientific reports
|February 5, 2025
概括
气候变化和人口增长加剧了全球饥饿问题. 然而,全球化可以有助于减轻这些对粮食安全的影响,为减少营养不良提供了一条道路.
科学领域:
- 农业经济学 农业经济学
- 环境科学环境科学
- 发展研究研究发展研究.
背景情况:
- 全球饥饿率正在上升,气候变化,人口增长和全球化加剧了这一现象.
- 粮食安全越来越容易受到气候变化和人口变化的影响.
- 巴基斯坦在确保粮食安全方面面临重大挑战.
研究的目的:
- 分析气候变化,全球化和人口增长对巴基斯坦粮食安全的影响.
- 为巴基斯坦制定一个全面的粮食安全指数.
- 确定减轻粮食不安全问题的策略.
主要方法:
- 使用双层主要成分分析来构建食品安全指数.
- 用于影响评估的多变量通用自动回归条件异质性 (MGARCH).
- 来自粮农组织,KOF全球化指数和世界发展指标 (1995-2023) 的数据来源.
主要成果:
- 人口增长和气候变化被发现对巴基斯坦的粮食安全产生了显著的负面影响.
- 全球化对人口增长和气候变化的不利影响产生了显著的缓解作用.
- 开发的粮食安全指数解释了超过50%的差异,其自值为3.603.
结论:
- 人口增长和气候变化是巴基斯坦粮食不安全的主要驱动因素.
- 全球化起到了至关重要的缓冲作用,增强了对粮食安全威胁的抵御力.
- 研究结果支持应对营养不良和实现可持续发展目标2 (零饥饿) 的干预措施.
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