解码新兴经济体的汇率:金融和能源动态
Saif Ullah1, Haitham Nobanee2,3,4
1College of Management and Applied Sciences at Ziauddin University, Karachi, Pakistan.
Heliyon
|February 5, 2025
概括
外国直接投资 (FDI) 和燃料价格强化了巴基斯坦的汇率,而通货膨胀和股市下跌导致值. 汇款需要谨慎管理,以获得积极的汇率影响.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 金融市场 金融市场
- 能源经济学 能源经济学
背景情况:
- 汇率波动是新兴经济体的一个关键问题.
- 了解金融和能源因素的相互作用对于经济稳定至关重要.
- 巴基斯坦经济面临与货币波动有关的独特挑战.
研究的目的:
- 调查巴基斯坦汇率波动的决定因素.
- 分析金融和能源变量对汇率的短期和长期影响.
- 为可持续发展的经济发展提供政策建议.
主要方法:
- 这项研究使用了自行回归分布式滞后 (ARDL) 边界测试.
- 分析了从2006年7月到2021年6月的时间序列数据.
- 考察了短期和长期的关系.
主要成果:
- 外国直接投资 (FDI) 对汇率稳定有积极的影响.
- 能源因素,特别是燃料价格,在短期和长期都有积极的影响.
- 股市下跌和通货膨胀上升与货币值有关.
- 汇款在未经管理的情况下会对汇率产生复杂的,潜在的不利影响.
结论:
- 外国直接投资和稳定的能源价格是强汇率的关键.
- 有效的汇款管理对于减轻不利影响至关重要.
- 政策干预应应对通货膨胀和股票市场波动性,以实现汇率稳定.
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