依赖"家附近"的信息来源是否会增加选民的信心? 2022年中期选举的证据
Thessalia Merivaki1, Mara Suttmann-Lea2, Rachel Orey3
1Georgetown University, USA.
Social science research
|February 5, 2025
概括
当地选举信息来源提高了选民对选举完整性和精确投票计数的信心. 这种效应甚至适用于怀疑论者,尽管州选举办公室的看法可能不同.
科学领域:
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
- 公众论研究 公众论研究
- 选举管理局 选举管理局
背景情况:
- 积极的选民体验对于公众对选举诚信的信心至关重要,特别是在准确的投票表格方面.
- 地方选举官员 (LEO) 是选举信息的主要来源,但可能并不总是选民的首选来源.
- 当地选举信息来源的"近在家"接近影响选民的看法和信任.
研究的目的:
- 调查依赖"家附近"信息来源和选民对选举完整性的信心之间的关系.
- 确定通过当地道接触准确的投票信息是否会提高人们对选票准确性的信心.
- 检查当地信息来源对不同的人口和政治群体选民信任的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用在2022年美国中期选举之前对注册选民进行的全国代表性调查.
- 分析了选民喜欢的信息来源与他们对选举完整性的信心之间的相关性.
- 分段分析以评估不同政治派别的调查结果,包括诚信怀疑论者.
主要成果:
- 在依赖地方选举信息来源 (地方办公室,媒体) 与增加选民信心之间发现了积极的关联.
- 这种积极的关系扩展到个人,社区和国家对选票准确性的信心水平.
- 当地消息来源对信心的积极影响甚至在怀疑选举诚信的选民中也持续存在.
结论:
- 与"接近家园"信息生态系统的接触显著提高了选民对选举过程和完整性的信任.
- 有一个值得注意的例外:依赖州选举办公室的选民始终报告信心较低,这表明公众的看法有细微差别.
- 调查结果强调了地方选举官员和媒体在建立公众信任方面的关键作用,同时表明了国家级沟通的潜在挑战.
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