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在气候政策不确定性下的可再生能源市场表现建模:一种新的多变量量子因果关系分析
Avik Sinha1, Muntasir Murshed2,3,4, Narasingha Das5
1HeXie Management Research Centre, Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University, Suzhou, China.
概括
气候政策的不确定性阻碍了美国的可再生能源驱动力. 本研究引入了一项新的因果关系测试,分析这些对可再生能源市场和企业的影响,为气候风险管理和可持续发展目标7提供信息.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 能源政策 能源政策
- 计量经济学 计量经济学
背景情况:
- 美国可再生能源市场对气候政策转变敏感,影响风险管理和驾驶员行为.
- 在现有文献中,对这些可再生能源行为变化的供给侧分析不足.
研究的目的:
- 分析气候政策不确定性对美国可再生能源驱动力的缓解作用.
- 提供关于政策不确定性影响的风险分析视角.
主要方法:
- 介绍了一种新的多变量量子对量子因果关系测试.
- 该测试涉及尾部依赖性,协同运动,可预测性,多变量和不对称冲击.
- 在国家和公司层面进行的分析 (美国前五大可再生能源公司).
主要成果:
- 气候政策的不确定性对可再生能源驱动力产生抑制作用.
- 政策不确定性的影响在企业层面上有很大差异.
- 这些发现突出了气候风险管理的政策影响.
结论:
- 气候政策的不确定性是影响美国可再生能源部门的关键因素.
- 解决政策不确定性对于有效的气候风险管理和实现可持续发展目标7至关重要.
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