在西藏高原上增加大气蒸发需求和对地表水资源的影响
Shiqin Xu1,2, Dennis P Lettenmaier3, Tim R McVicar4,5
1Hydrology, Agriculture and Land Observation (HALO) Laboratory, Division of Biological and Environmental Science and Engineering, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Thuwal, Saudi Arabia.
iScience
|February 10, 2025
概括
西藏高原的大气蒸发需求已经扭转了下降的趋势,由于温度和湿度的上升而增加. 这对水资源产生影响,降水增加的流量比蒸发需求减少的更多.
科学领域:
- 水文学 水文学
- 气候学 气候学 气候学
- 环境科学 环境科学
背景情况:
- 西藏高原是亚洲的重要水源,经历了重大的水气候变化.
- 在20世纪末,人们观察到大气蒸发需求 (E) 的下降趋势.
- 尽管E趋势逆转,但风力减弱和太阳光变暗等因素仍在继续.
研究的目的:
- 分析西藏高原大气蒸发需求趋势的逆转.
- 量化降水和蒸发需求对该地区溪流流量的影响.
- 了解这些水气候变化对地表水资源的影响.
主要方法:
- 1980-2015年大气蒸发需求 (E) 趋势的分析.
- 利用经验上的"上下"布迪科方法进行水文建模.
- 估计了七个子捕获区的雨水和E变化的流量反应.
主要成果:
- 在过去的二十年中,大气蒸发需求 (E) 的趋势从下降逆转为增加.
- 空气温度上升和相对湿度下降是E值上升的主要驱动因素.
- 降水量增加10%导致流量增加15%至19%,而10%的E增加导致流量减少5%至9%.
结论:
- 西藏高原的水气候变化正在加速.
- 大气蒸发需求的增加对该地区的地表水资源构成了重大挑战.
- 了解这些动态对于管理"亚洲水塔"的水资源至关重要.
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