关于副效益的真相:泰国及其他地区的多维可行性评估
Eric Zusman1,2, Kaoru Akahoshi1, Tatsuya Hanaoka2
1The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies, Japan.
概括
社会和制度障碍显著推迟了气候解决方案,比经济或技术障碍增加了空气污染 (PM2.5). 一个新的框架有助于衡量这些障碍,以改善气候行动和共同利益.
科学领域:
- 气候变化缓解减缓 气候变化缓解减缓
- 环境政策 环境政策
- 进行社会经济分析.
背景情况:
- 量化气候行动的副效益 (例如,改善健康,减少空气污染) 可以解决发展的成本问题.
- 实现这些共同利益往往面临着严重的,难以衡量的社会和制度障碍.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个多维框架来衡量实现气候共同利益的障碍.
- 将可行性评估纳入用于共同利益分析的综合评估建模中.
主要方法:
- 为1.5°C的未来进行扩展的定量可行性研究.
- 开发了一个新的,可通用的框架来评估社会,机构,经济和技术障碍.
- 将框架应用于泰国的交通,农业和住宅能源解决方案.
主要成果:
- 在大多数研究的解决方案中,社会和制度障碍比经济/技术障碍造成的延迟要大.
- 与没有障碍的情景相比,延迟使颗粒物 (PM2.5) 排放量增加了24-31%.
- 确定了泰国的关键行业的具体障碍.
结论:
- 多维可行性框架对于理解和克服气候共同利益的障碍至关重要.
- 将这一框架纳入政策和项目评估可以提高气候行动的有效性.
- 国际合作和关于障碍物的数据共享可以加速多层次的过渡.
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