在环境约束下设定经济增长目标:对中国县的空间自回归模型分析
Bin Chen1, Yue Zhang1, Chris M Bell2
1Hunan Key Laboratory of Macroeconomic Big Data Mining and its Application, School of Business, Hunan Normal University, No. 36 Lushan Road, Changsha, China.
Journal of environmental management
|February 10, 2025
概括
中国的强制性环境目标降低了地方政府的经济增长目标. 然而,随着污染控制的改善,这种影响会减弱,显示出发展和环境保护之间的复杂平衡.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 公共政策 公共政策
- 区域科学 地区科学
背景情况:
- 经济增长与环境保护之间的平衡是地方政府面临的关键挑战.
- 中国的五年计划指导国家和地方发展重点,包括环境目标.
研究的目的:
- 调查强制性环境保护目标对中国地方政府经济增长目标的影响.
- 分析影响县政府设定经济增长目标的因素.
主要方法:
- 利用了11年,12年和13年FYP期间的中国县的数据.
- 应用空间自回归模型来评估环境目标与经济增长愿望之间的关系.
主要成果:
- 全面的强制性环境目标对县的经济增长愿望产生了负面影响.
- 这种负面关系被相对污染物排放效率所缓和.
- 经济增长目标受到过去的目标,绩效差距,同行和省级目标以及官方特征 (例如,市长退休,党委书记教育) 的影响.
- 环境目标被发现抑制了人们的愿望和实际的经济发展.
结论:
- 强制性环境目标可能会限制中国地方政府的经济增长雄心.
- 政策的有效性受到排放效率和当地领导层的政治背景等因素的影响.
- 调查结果提供了有关地方政府为可持续发展做出战略决策的见解.
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