跨越国界:解读经济发展,货币信心,金融市场和购买力对货币国际化的影响
Zibin Cao1,2, Weini Soh2, Nazrul Hisyam Ab Razak2
1School of Economics and Management, Zhoukou Normal University, Zhoukou City, Henan Province, China.
PloS one
|February 11, 2025
概括
各国正在使货币多样化,远离美元. 经济发展和货币信心对货币国际化产生负面影响,而金融市场和购买力对其产生积极影响,购买力调解这些影响.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 国际金融 国际金融
- 货币政策 货币政策 货币政策
背景情况:
- 全球脱美元化和脱全球化趋势正在增加对货币多元化的需求.
- 现有的关于货币国际化驱动因素的研究受到了小样本规模,有限的方法和不完整的理论框架的影响.
研究的目的:
- 研究经济发展,货币信心和金融市场对货币国际化的影响.
- 探索购买力在经济发展/货币信心与货币国际化之间的关系中的调解作用.
主要方法:
- 使用的部分最小平方结构方程建模 (PLS-SEM).
- 分析了2000年至2020年间9种主要货币 (不包括欧元) 的二次数据.
主要成果:
- 经济发展和货币信心与货币国际化有显著的负面关系.
- 金融市场的发展和购买力与货币国际化有着显著的积极关系.
- 购买力部分和补充地调解了经济发展和货币信任与货币国际化之间的关系.
结论:
- 促进货币国际化需要发展金融市场,提高开放性,减少资本管制.
- 有效的货币国际化策略包括控制通货膨胀,多元化储备资产和保持灵活的汇率.
- 研究的局限性包括排除欧元,依赖硬数据,小样本规模,以及对经济因素的狭关注.
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