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净繁殖数作为人口可再生性的实时指标

Chiara Achangwa¹, Changhee Han², Jun-Sik Lim³

¹Department of Preventive Medicine, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, R6117, Omibus Park, 222 Banpo-daero, Seoul, 06591, Republic of Korea, 82 02-3147-8383, 82 02-532-3820.

JMIR public health and surveillance

|February 12, 2025

概括

生殖率 (Rt) 提供了一个比总生育率 (TFR) 更准确的衡量人口生殖潜力,因为它考虑了性别比率和女性死亡率. 这一调整后的利率表明,低于TFR的替代水平略早于TFR.

科学领域:

人口统计学人口统计学
人口研究人口研究
生殖健康生殖健康

背景情况:

总生育率 (TFR) 是一个常用的衡量人口生殖潜力的指标.
然而,TFR是有限的,因为它不考虑出生时的性别比例失衡或生殖年龄的女性死亡率.

研究的目的:

为了估计生殖率 (Rt),一个调整后的生殖潜力的措施.
为了比较TFR和Rt之间达到替代水平的时间.
评估RT作为一个更准确和可解释的人口指标的实用性.

主要方法:

估计Rt使用女性生存概率和女性出生人数.
采用时间序列分析来比较韩国的TFR和Rt趋势 (1975-2022).

主要成果:

Rt指的是低于替代人口水平,比TFR提前一年.
时间序列分析显示,Rt和TFR估计之间没有显著差异.
Rt提供了及时,调整了对人口生殖潜力的洞察力.

结论:

生殖率 (Rt) 比TFR提供了对人口动态的更细致的理解.
由于RT能够根据主要的人口因素进行调整,因此提高了它的准确性.
人工智能是公共卫生和政策的一个有价值的工具,为生殖趋势提供了更清晰的见解.

关键词:

韩国韩国韩国韩国韩国韩国人韩国人韩国人评估评估的评估评估的评估.避孕药是一种避孕产品.孩子的生育年龄.一个女人,一个女人,一个女人.生育率生育率生育率是什么意思出生,就是生下一个孩子.这种不平衡是不平衡的.影响分析影响分析死亡率死亡率人口控制的人口控制.可复制性的可复制性生殖生殖的繁殖.生殖率生殖率的增长率生殖年龄的生殖年龄.性别比率的性别比率.时间序列时间序列一个女人,一个女人,一个女人.

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