在希腊发生丹尼尔风暴洪水事件后,所有原因的过度死亡率
Evdoxia Valavani1, Vasilis Bellos2, Fani Apostolidou-Kiouti3
1Laboratory of Primary Health Care, General Medicine and Health Services Research, School of Medicine, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54124 Thessaloniki, Greece.
Journal of public health (Oxford, England)
|February 13, 2025
概括
暴风雨丹尼尔在希腊造成了显著的过度死亡率,第一周有54人死亡,90天有335人死亡. 这突显了严重洪水对健康的长期影响,远远超出了直接的死亡.
科学领域:
- 环境健康 环境健康
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 灾难医学 灾难医学
背景情况:
- 丹尼尔风暴是21世纪严重的洪水事件,于2023年9月袭击了特萨利和希腊中部.
- 事件造成17人直接死亡,造成广泛的破坏.
研究的目的:
- 为了评估风丹尼尔之后所有原因的过度死亡率.
- 将观察到的死亡人数与历史趋势进行比较,以量化洪水对健康的影响.
主要方法:
- 在受影响的县 (Fthiotida,Karditsa/Trikala,Magnesia) 每周死亡数据的分析.
- 在洪水周和洪水后90天的死亡率与2015-2019年历史数据的比较.
主要成果:
- 在洪水周期间观察到显著的死亡率增加:57%在Fthiotida,40%在Karditsa/Trikala和39%在Magnesia.
- 在第一周记录了54例过度死亡,在洪水后90天内升至335例过度死亡.
结论:
- 直接死亡人数低估了洪水对健康的真正负担.
- 洪水带来复杂的,长期的健康风险,需要持续的社区监测.
- 公共卫生战略必须考虑到极端天气事件后的延迟和间接死亡率.
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