质疑第六次大规模灭绝的可能性
John J Wiens1, Kristen E Saban1
1Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721-0088, USA.
Trends in ecology & evolution
|February 15, 2025
概括
广泛的第六次大规模灭绝的说法得到了批判性的评价. 虽然最近的灭绝事件被注意到,但它们可能不等同于过去的大规模灭绝事件或反映当前全球生物多样性威胁.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 古生物学的古生物学
- 保护生物学 保护生物学
背景情况:
- 第六次大规模灭绝事件的概念被广泛讨论.
- 这一想法经常得到研究的支持,这些研究表明物种灭绝速度加速.
- 然而,这些灭绝的规模和影响仍在争论中.
研究的目的:
- 批判性地评估地球正在经历第六次大规模灭绝的说法.
- 评估科学证据支持广泛的,当前的灭绝事件.
- 为了比较最近的灭绝与历史的大规模灭绝事件.
主要方法:
- 审查现有关于近期和历史灭绝率的研究.
- 分析用于预测未来物种灭绝的方法.
- 记录的灭绝事件与大规模灭绝事件的标准进行比较.
主要成果:
- 很少有研究严格测试第六次大规模灭绝假设.
- 最近的灭绝,通常以岛屿为基础,可能不代表全球危机.
- 对未来大量物种丧失的推断缺乏强大的因果关系,并考虑了很少的物种.
- 许多被评估的物种目前没有受到威胁.
结论:
- 虽然最近的灭绝是显著的,但它们可能不等于过去的大规模灭绝.
- 目前的证据并不能断定地支持广泛的第六次大规模灭绝.
- 需要进一步的研究来了解当代生物多样性丧失的真正范围和驱动因素.
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