相关实验视频
Updated: May 27, 2025

06:10
Using Generative Art to Convey Past and Future Climate Transitions
Published on: March 31, 2023
854
古纪录揭示了对可靠物种至关重要的生物机制 快速气候变化中的范围变化预测
Victor Van der Meersch1, Edward Armstrong2, Florent Mouillot1
1CEFE, Univ Montpellier, CNRS, EPHE, IRD, Montpellier, France.
Ecology letters
|February 19, 2025
概括
过程明确模型 (PEMs) 对于预测气候变化下的物种分布比相关物种分布模型 (CSDMs) 更可靠. PEM为未来的气候场景提供了可靠的预测,增强了生态预测.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 气候变化生物学 气候变化生物学
- 计算生物学 计算生物学
背景情况:
- 全球气候变暖需要为自然资源管理准确的物种分布预测.
- 目前的物种分布模型 (SDM) 缺乏在新气候条件下的性能数据.
研究的目的:
- 在过去的气候变化下比较不同物种分布模型的可靠性.
- 为了评估在12000多年的气候不同条件下模型的性能.
- 评估物种分布模型预测的未来可靠性.
主要方法:
- 在过去的12,000年里,欧洲森林树种的分布范围发生了变化.
- 将过程明确模型 (PEM) 与相关物种分布模型 (CSDM) 的性能进行比较.
- 在气候上不同的过去环境中分析模型可靠性.
主要成果:
- 过程明确模型 (PEMs) 在气候不同条件下,与相关物种分布模型 (CSDMs) 相比,表现优越.
- 预计到21世纪末,PEM预测将比CSDM预测更可靠.
- 通过对生态机制的明确描述,模型的稳定性得到了增强.
结论:
- 模型中的明确机制描述为生态预测提供了更大的稳定性.
- 过程显式模型为预测未来气候变化下的物种分布提供了更可靠的方法.
- 这项研究证实了长期提出但未经测试的生态预测机械模型的好处.
相关概念视频
Global Climate Change
24.1K
Throughout its ~4.5 billion year history, the Earth has experienced periods of warming and cooling. However, the current drastic increase in global temperatures is well outside of the Earth’s cyclic norms, and evidence for human-caused global climate change is compelling. Paleoclimatology, the study of ancient climate conditions, provides ample evidence for human-caused global climate change by comparing recent conditions with those in the past.
24.1K
The Fossil Record
24.9K
The fossil record documents only a small fraction of all organisms that have ever inhabited Earth. Fossilization is a rare process, and most organisms never become fossils. Moreover, the fossil record only exhibits fossils that have been discovered. Nevertheless, sedimentary rock fossils of long-lived, abundant, hard-bodied organisms dominate the fossil record. These fossils offer valuable information, such as an organism's physical form, behavior, and age. Studying the fossil record helps...
24.9K
The Evidence for Evolution
42.3K
Genetic variations accumulating within populations over generations give rise to biological evolution. Evolutionary changes can result in the formation of novel varieties and entire new species. These changes are responsible for the diverse forms of life inhabiting the planet. The evidence for evolution suggests that all living organisms descended from common ancestors.
42.3K
What is Evolutionary History?
36.1K
Scientists record evolutionary history by analyzing fossil, morphological, and genetic data. The fossil record documents the history of life on Earth and provides evidence for evolution. However, both fossil and living organisms offer evidence that outlines Earth’s evolutionary history.
36.1K
Speciation Rates
20.9K
Overview
20.9K
Gene Evolution - Fast or Slow?
7.0K
The genomes of eukaryotes are punctuated by long stretches of sequence which do not code for proteins or RNAs. Although some of these regions do contain crucial regulatory sequences, the vast majority of this DNA serves no known function. Typically, these regions of the genome are the ones in which the fastest change, in evolutionary terms, is observed, because there is typically little to no selection pressure acting on these regions to preserve their sequences.
In contrast, regions which code...
In contrast, regions which code...
7.0K

