通过考虑模型风险,将种群模型与有关受威胁或危物种的监管决策相匹配的评估过程
Julann A Spromberg1, Scott A Hecht2, Cathy A Laetz1
1Northwest Fisheries Science Center, Environmental and Fisheries Sciences Division, National Marine Fisheries Service, Seattle, WA, United States.
Integrated environmental assessment and management
|February 19, 2025
概括
本研究介绍了一个决策框架,以帮助监管机构自信地使用人口模型来管理自然资源. 它解决了对模型适当性和风险的担忧,确保模型符合监管需求.
科学领域:
- 生态建模 生态建模
- 环境科学环境科学
- 监管科学是一种监管科学.
背景情况:
- 人口模型对于自然资源管理至关重要,但由于专业知识缺口,监管机构往往未充分利用.
- 监管机构可能缺乏对模型实用性的信心或对模型开发做出贡献的能力.
研究的目的:
- 提出一个决策框架,以加强在监管决策中使用人口模型.
- 解决在监管环境中对模型适当性,实用性和风险的担忧.
主要方法:
- 开发了一个框架来指导监管机构在选择或构建人口模型时.
- 强调将模型结构与监管需求保持一致,并将数据信心与决策要求相匹配.
- 定义并解决模型风险,包括数据限制和潜在的错误应用.
主要成果:
- 拟议的框架有助于监管机构有效评估和利用人口模型.
- 它有助于确保模型适合特定的监管问题和背景.
- 管理模型风险增加了用户对应用自然资源决策模型的信心.
结论:
- 实施这一框架将改善人口模型与监管问题的适应性.
- 它旨在减少模型风险,并提高监管机构对使用这些工具的信心.
- 这个过程支持对自然资源如渔业和稀有物种的知情决策.
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