影响中国药剂师人力资源发展的相关因素分析:基于时间序列向量自回归模型
Wei Guo1,2,3, Han Zhang1,2,3, Yan Quan Lin1,2,3
1Pharmacy, Affiliated Suqian Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Suqian, People's Republic of China.
人均卫生支出和国内生产总值是扩大中国医院药剂师团队的关键驱动因素,医院访问的影响较小. 这些因素对劳动力增长有积极的影响.
科学领域:
- 卫生经济学 卫生经济学
- 医疗卫生工作人员发展发展.
- 药剂师劳动力分析
背景情况:
- 中国医院药剂师团队的扩张受到各种动态因素的影响.
- 了解这些影响对于战略劳动力规划和发展至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析和预测影响中国医院药剂师团队扩张的因素的动态影响趋势和程度.
- 确定药剂师劳动力增长的主要驱动因素.
主要方法:
- 利用国家一级的时间序列数据从2002-2022年对医院访问,药剂师数量,人均医疗支出和人均GDP.
- 采用了矢量自回归 (VAR) 模型,包括格兰杰因果关系测试,冲动响应分析和方差分解.
主要成果:
- 静止时间序列 (P<0.05) 和稳定模型得到确认.
- 在住院次数,人均医疗支出,人均GDP和药剂师数量之间发现了协同整合和单向格兰杰因果关系.
- 差异分解表明人均GDP (80%) 和人均医疗支出 (57%) 是主要驱动因素,医院访问贡献了12%.
结论:
- 人均医疗支出和国内生产总值是中国药剂师劳动力发展的重要积极因素.
- 虽然医院访问对增长有积极的影响,但与经济指标相比,其贡献相对较小.
- 人均医疗支出显示,短期内对增加药剂师人数产生积极影响.
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