建议估计医疗保健所需的资源
María Gilma Arroyave-Loaiza1, Edgar Carlos Jarillo-Soto2, Oliva López-Arellano3
1Facultad de Contaduría y Administración, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México. Mexico City, Mexico. Secretaría de Salud de la Ciudad de México. Mexico City, Mexico.. mariagilmaarroyaveloaiza@gmail.com.
Salud publica de Mexico
|February 20, 2025
概括
墨西哥城在2024年面临着严重的医疗保健资源短缺,因为它没有保险的人口. 提出的预算估计方法为未来的医疗保健规划和覆盖提供了更大的确定性.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 卫生经济学 卫生经济学
- 医疗保健管理的管理
背景情况:
- 墨西哥城没有社会保障的人口在获得医疗保健方面面临挑战.
- 准确估计医疗保健资源需求对于有效的卫生系统规划至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 提出一种方法来估计墨西哥城未保险人口的医疗保健资源需求.
- 预测国内医疗保健资源需求,包括获得和覆盖范围.
主要方法:
- 计算用于医疗保健的国内生产总值 (GDP) 的百分比.
- 使用医疗技术基准成本 (MTBC) 或医疗经济卡 (MEC) 标准.
- 基于对无保险人口的诊断和治疗,预测未来的资源需求.
主要成果:
- 预计到2024年,医疗保健资源将出现严重的短缺.
- 未来的人均医疗保健成本高于第一级和第二级医疗保健的历史成本.
- 墨西哥城显示,历史和未来医疗保健GDP分配之间的差异为42%,全国缺口为19%.
结论:
- 拟议的前性预算方法提高了医疗保健资源需求估计的确定性和细节性.
- 这种方法可以为政策决策提供信息,以解决医疗保健资源缺口.
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